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BASKETBALL · NBL · Round 3

Perth WildcatsvSouth East Melbourne Phoenix

Listed start: Friday 2 October 2026, 11:30 am UTC · RAC Arena

The matchup

The Perth Wildcats enter this Round 3 match with a record of 1 win and 1 loss, averaging 88.5 points scored and 98.5 points conceded across their two games this season. Their most recent match saw them narrowly defeat the Adelaide 36ers 98-97 at home, following a significant 79-100 loss to the South East Melbourne Phoenix in their first game at RAC Arena. On the other hand, the South East Melbourne Phoenix currently hold a record of 1 win and 2 losses, averaging 84.0 points scored and 87.0 points conceded. Their recent form shows a disappointing loss to Melbourne United, where they scored only 61 points and conceded 86, following a narrow 91-96 defeat to Tasmania JackJumpers in their away opener.

Notably, the Phoenix have already demonstrated their capability against the Wildcats this season, securing a decisive 100-79 victory in Round 1. This previous head-to-head clash suggests that the Phoenix have an advantage, not just in scoring output but also in how they managed the Wildcats defensively. The combined scoring average, if both teams perform according to their season numbers, would suggest a total around 172 points, indicating a potential for a high-scoring affair when these teams meet again.

Does the price match the form?

No market prices are available yet for this event. When the prices are established, it will be essential to scrutinize the implied probabilities in conjunction with their current form. If the Phoenix are favoured, do their past victories, including the significant win over the Wildcats, align with the market's expectations? Alternatively, if the Wildcats find themselves as the favourites, one must consider whether their defensive issues may contradict market confidence. Investigating these inconsistencies can provide valuable insights.

Where to look in the markets

  • Total Points Over/Under: Given the combined average scoring of 172 points from both teams, closely compare the bookmaker's posted line against this figure.
  • Point Spread: With the Wildcats allowing an average of 98.5 points per game, explore the margins set for this matchup, considering their recent defensive struggles.
  • Player Props (Points): Investigate points props for key scorers on both sides, especially in light of both teams' ability to produce points consistently.

Before you bet, check

  • What is the status of players for both teams? Check for any injuries that could impact performance.
  • Verify the venue specifics: Is there anything unusual about the RAC Arena setup?
  • Evaluate the travel schedule for the South East Melbourne Phoenix; has their travel impacted player performance?
  • Look into the turnaround time between games for each team; is there fatigue from recent matches?

Staking this game

In a match where no market prices are available, maintaining disciplined staking habits becomes vital. A flat stake of 1-2% can mitigate the risks associated with unforeseen outcomes, especially given the volatility seen in recent performances from both teams. As patterns develop through the season, adjusting stakes based on reliable data becomes increasingly important for sustained success.